Arian Smith

WR · #82

NYJ • Age 24 • Season 1

🎓 Georgia📏 6'0"⚖️ 179 lbs📝 Draft: Round 4, Pick 110 (NYJ)

XFP Summary

Show Position Rank/Percentile vs. PositionGraph

Season	Team	Adj GP	XFP	FP	XFP/G	FP/G	Opp +/-	OEX%	%TM XFP	%TM FP	RZ XFP/G	RZ FP/G	RZ OEX%	%TM RZ XFP	%TM RZ FP
2025	NYJ	13.50	23.5	10.0	1.74^WR60+	0.74^WR60+	-1.3%²⁶	-57%⁰	3.4%⁰	1.5%⁰	0.00^WR60+	0.00^WR60+	—	0%⁰	0%¹
ALL	—	13.50	23.5	10.0	1.74	0.74	—	-57%	3.4%	1.5%	0.00	0.00	—	0%	0%

XFP Splits

Show Position Rank/Percentile vs. PositionGraphGame State Splits

Season	Team	Type	Adj GP	XFP	FP	XFP/G	FP/G	OEX%	%TM XFP	%TM FP	RZ XFP/G	RZ FP/G	RZ OEX%	%TM RZ XFP	%TM RZ FP
2025	NYJ	REC	13.50	20.9	8.7	1.55^WR60+	0.64^WR60+	-58%²	4.4%⁹	2%³	0.0^WR60+	0.0^WR60+	—	0%⁵	0%¹¹

WOWY (With / Without)

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Metrics — Receiving Efficiency

Show Percentiles vs. PositionCatchable OnlyGraph

Season	Team	Tgts	Share	EPA/Tgt	Success%	xCP%	CPOE	aDOT	xYAC	YAC OEX	%YOE	BT / Rec	TTT	Cush	Sep	Drop%	Ctchble%	Created%	Cntst%
2025	NYJ	16	4%	-0.22	31%	59%	-14.81	13.50	7.01	-2.29	43%	0.17	2.59	—	—	6%	63%	0%	25%

Metrics — Receiving % of Team

Show EPA Percentiles vs. PositionShow Percentiles vs. PositionGraph

Core

Season	Team	Tgts	Share	Man	Zone	Deep	RZ	Horiz Route	RPO/PA	1st Read	Shotgun	Under Ctr
2025	NYJ	16	4.1%	1.0%	4.9%	14.3%	0.0%	5.3%	8.3%	4.6%	2.9%	9.4%

Situational

Season	Team	Tgts	Screen	Blitz	Pressure	Early TTT	Late TTT	Obv Pass	No-Huddle	Contested	Scramble	QB OOP
2025	NYJ	16	5.9%	1.9%	6.2%	5.0%	6.3%	0.9%	9.1%	6.3%	0.0%	2.2%

Snap Share by Situation

GraphShow Sample SizeUse true game snaps (no inj adj)

Season	Team	Segment	Adj GP	Snaps %	Rush %	Pass %	High RZ %	GL %	Early Down %	Late Down %	Late Short %	Late Medium %	Late Long %	Blowout Down %	Blowout Up %	No-Huddle %	1–2 WR %	3+ WR %
2025	NYJ	Early	5.50	53%	36%	63%	82%	19%	50%	64%	58%	69%	63%	66%	—	59%	27%	65%
2025	NYJ	Mid	5.00	48%	46%	49%	29%	40%	47%	49%	52%	36%	57%	—	—	28%	47%	48%
2025	NYJ	End	3.00	23%	22%	24%	7%	17%	21%	28%	29%	19%	32%	32%	—	27%	21%	24%
2025	NYJ	All	13.50	44%	37%	48%	40%	25%	42%	49%	47%	45%	52%	46%	—	42%	33%	49%

Injury History

No injury reports

Current Contract

Year	Age	Base Salary	Cash	Cap Hit	Cap %	Team Pos %	Guaranteed $	Cap Savings
2026	25	$1.00M	$1.79M	$1.27M	0.4%	7.3%	$0.78M	$0.48M
2027	26	$1.12M	$1.12M	$1.38M	0.4%	4.8%	$0.52M	$0.86M
2028	27	$1.24M	$1.24M	$1.50M	0.4%	4.0%	$0.26M	$1.24M

Weekly Game Logs

Week	Team	Opp	Score	v Pos Avg	v Pos Rk	QP	Snaps	% Snaps	% Rush	% Pass	% Rush Sh	% Tgt Sh	XFP	FP
16	NYJ	NO	6-29 (L)	23.2	11	2	7	11.1%	0%	15.9%	0%	1.3%	1.6	0.0
17	NYJ	NE	10-42 (L)	25.0	15	3	12	19%	17.9%	20%	0%	1.5%	0.8	1.0
18	NYJ	BUF	8-35 (L)	23.4	12	4	16	34%	36.4%	32%	5%	4.3%	2.7	0.2