Justin Jefferson

WR · #18

MIN • Age 27 • Season 6

🎓 LSU📏 6'1"⚖️ 192 lbs📝 Draft: Round 1, Pick 22 (MIN)

XFP Summary

Show Position Rank/Percentile vs. PositionGraph

Season	Team	Adj GP	XFP	FP	XFP/G	FP/G	Opp +/-	OEX%	%TM XFP	%TM FP	RZ XFP/G	RZ FP/G	RZ OEX%	%TM RZ XFP	%TM RZ FP
2022	MIN	16.25	275.2	304.7	16.94^WR1	18.75^WR2	+0.3%⁵⁶	11%⁷¹	24.8%⁹⁸	27.2%⁹⁸	4.27^WR2	3.96^WR5	-7%⁴³	20.9%⁹⁴	19.2%⁸³
2023	MIN	9.50	155.6	168.2	16.38^WR2	17.71^WR2	+3.2%⁹³	8%⁶⁶	25.3%⁹⁹	27.8%⁹⁸	2.67^WR13	0.98^WR60+	-63%⁸	16.6%⁸³	8.5%³⁷
2024	MIN	16.75	241.6	266.0	14.42^WR5	15.88^WR5	-0.3%⁴⁵	10%⁷⁰	23.4%⁹⁶	25.3%⁹⁷	3.62^WR4	3.30^WR11	-9%⁴²	20.7%⁹³	19.7%⁸⁵
2025	MIN	16.75	207.2	159.5	12.37^WR13	9.52^WR37	+3.8%⁹⁶	-23%⁸	23%⁹⁵	18.8%⁷⁶	2.62^WR14	1.12^WR58	-57%¹⁰	18.5%⁸⁹	7.4%³¹
2026	MIN	6.00	60.8	72.4	10.13^WR29	12.07^WR18	-0.8%³⁵	19%⁸⁴	26.6%¹⁰⁰	33.6%¹⁰⁰	2.81^WR11	4.37^WR4	56%⁸⁹	33.1%¹⁰⁰	44.9%¹⁰⁰
ALL	—	98.00	1394.3	1477.3	14.23	15.07	—	6%	23.3%	24.3%	3.17	2.76	-13%	18.6%	16%

XFP Splits

Show Position Rank/Percentile vs. PositionGraphGame State SplitsWithin Room

Season	Team	Type	Adj GP	XFP	FP	XFP/G	FP/G	OEX%	%TM XFP	%TM FP	RZ XFP/G	RZ FP/G	RZ OEX%	%TM RZ XFP	%TM RZ FP
2026	MIN	REC	6.00	60.2	73.5	10.03^WR28	12.25^WR15	22%⁸⁷	38.1%¹⁰⁰	49.6%¹⁰⁰	2.8^WR10	4.4^WR3	56%⁸⁸	44.2%¹⁰⁰	67.5%¹⁰⁰

WOWY (With / Without)

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Metrics — Receiving Efficiency

Show Percentiles vs. PositionCatchable OnlyGraph

Season	Team	Tgts	Share	XFP/Tgt	Catchable XFP/g	EPA/Tgt	Success%	xCP%	CPOE	aDOT	xYAC	YAC OEX	%YOE	BT / Rec	TTT	Cush	Sep	Drop%	Ctchble%	Created%	Cntst%
2020	MIN	128	26%⁹²	1.47⁷⁸	—	+0.67⁹⁴	60%⁸⁹	64%⁴⁹	+6.78⁸⁴	11.58⁶⁸	3.30²⁷	+2.06⁹⁴	51%⁸⁰	0.14⁸⁸	2.71⁶⁴	5.71³⁵	2.58²⁷	2%⁹⁰	—	—	—

Metrics — Receiving % of Team

Show EPA Percentiles vs. PositionShow Percentiles vs. PositionGraph

Core

Season	Team	Tgts	Share	Man	Zone	Deep	RZ	Horiz Route	RPO/PA	1st Read	Shotgun	Under Ctr
2020	MIN	128	26.1%⁹²	29.6%⁸⁹	24.8%⁸⁹	40.0%⁹⁰	19.4%⁶⁵	30.9%⁹¹	—	—	25.6%⁸⁷	27.2%⁸⁸

Situational

Season	Team	Tgts	Screen	Blitz	Pressure	Early TTT	Late TTT	Obv Pass	No-Huddle	Contested	Scramble	QB OOP
2020	MIN	128	18.8%⁷⁷	31.3%⁹²	27.9%⁹⁴	31.8%⁹¹	27.4%⁹⁴	28.1%⁸⁹	20.7%⁷¹	—	—	—

Snap Share by Situation

GraphShow Sample SizeUse true game snaps (no inj adj)

Season	Team	Segment	Adj GP	Snaps %	Rush %	Pass %	High RZ %	GL %	Early Down %	Late Down %	Late Short %	Late Medium %	Late Long %	Blowout Down %	Blowout Up %	No-Huddle %	1–2 WR %	3+ WR %
2025	MIN	Early	4.75	100%	100%	99%	100%	94%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	—	100%	100%	100%
2025	MIN	Mid	6.00	97%	97%	97%	100%	86%	97%	96%	95%	95%	97%	67%	—	97%	100%	96%
2025	MIN	End	6.00	91%	88%	94%	80%	93%	92%	90%	83%	93%	94%	88%	44%	100%	90%	94%
2025	MIN	All	16.75	96%	94%	97%	94%	91%	96%	95%	92%	96%	97%	81%	44%	99%	95%	97%

Injury History

Season	Weeks	Injury	Status
2026	Weeks 4-5	Unknown	Unknown
2023	Week 15	Chest	Questionable
2023	Weeks 10-12	Hamstring	Questionable

Current Contract

Year	Age	Base Salary	Cash	Cap Hit	Cap %	Team Pos %	Guaranteed $	Cap Savings
2026	27	$1.22M	$3.19M	$21.22M	6.8%⁹³	54.1%⁹⁴	$86.72M	$-65.50M
2027	28	$29.24M	$43.50M	$49.49M	15.1%¹⁰⁰	70.4%⁸⁶	$65.25M	$-15.76M
2028	29	$33.24M	$33.24M	$53.49M	15.2%¹⁰⁰	96.5%⁸⁹	$31.50M	$21.99M

Weekly Game Logs

Week	Team	Opp	Score	v Pos Avg	v Pos Rk	QP	Snaps	% Snaps	% Rush	% Pass	% Rush Sh	% Tgt Sh	XFP	FP
16	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
18	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—