Justin Watson

WR · #84

HOU • Age 30 • Season 8

🎓 Penn📏 6'2"⚖️ 215 lbs📝 Draft: Round 5, Pick 144 (TB)

XFP Summary

Show Position Rank/Percentile vs. PositionGraph

Season	Team	Adj GP	XFP	FP	XFP/G	FP/G	Opp +/-	OEX%	%TM XFP	%TM FP	RZ XFP/G	RZ FP/G	RZ OEX%	%TM RZ XFP	%TM RZ FP
2020	TB	5.50	12.6	12.9	2.29^WR60+	2.35^WR60+	-3.3%⁷	2%⁵⁰	3.1%⁰	2.9%⁰	0.00^WR60+	0.00^WR60+	—	0%⁰	0%¹
2022	KC	16.50	57.2	51.0	3.46^WR60+	3.09^WR60+	-1.0%³⁰	-11%²⁴	5.1%⁰	4%⁰	0.44^WR60+	0.42^WR60+	-6%⁴⁴	2.1%¹	1.6%⁶
2023	KC	15.25	85.8	75.5	5.63^WR60+	4.95^WR60+	+2.8%⁹⁰	-12%²²	9.1%¹¹	8.1%⁸	1.20^WR60+	1.36^WR54	14%⁶²	7.1%²²	8%³⁴
2024	KC	17.00	50.1	51.9	2.95^WR60+	3.05^WR60+	+1.4%⁷⁴	4%⁵⁴	4.7%⁰	5.1%⁰	0.50^WR60+	0.99^WR60+	100%⁹⁷	2.6%²	5.6%²⁰
2025	HOU	2.75	5.4	4.5	1.98	1.64	-3.4%	-17%	3.9%	3.4%	1.19	0.29	-75%	11.5%	4.3%
ALL	—	71.75	250.8	232.2	3.49	3.24	—	-7%	5.3%	4.7%	0.65	0.87	33%	3.5%	4.3%

XFP Splits

Show Position Rank/Percentile vs. PositionGraphGame State SplitsWithin Room

Season	Team	Type	Adj GP	XFP	FP	XFP/G	FP/G	OEX%	%TM XFP	%TM FP	RZ XFP/G	RZ FP/G	RZ OEX%	%TM RZ XFP	%TM RZ FP
2025	HOU	REC	2.75	5.4	4.5	1.98	1.64	-17%	5.7%	5%	1.2	0.3	-75%	17.2%	7.5%

WOWY (With / Without)

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Metrics — Receiving Efficiency

Show Percentiles vs. PositionCatchable OnlyGraph

Season	Team	Tgts	Share	XFP/Tgt	Catchable XFP/g	EPA/Tgt	Success%	xCP%	CPOE	aDOT	xYAC	YAC OEX	%YOE	BT / Rec	TTT	Cush	Sep	Drop%	Ctchble%	Created%	Cntst%
2018	TB	3	1%	1.01	—	-0.63	0%	77%	-43.62	5.00	4.08	-4.08	0%	—	2.24	—	—	0%	—	—	—

Metrics — Receiving % of Team

Show EPA Percentiles vs. PositionShow Percentiles vs. PositionGraph

Core

Season	Team	Tgts	Share	Man	Zone	Deep	RZ	Horiz Route	RPO/PA	1st Read	Shotgun	Under Ctr
2018	TB	3	0.9%	0.9%	0.9%	0.0%	0.0%	1.4%	—	—	1.2%	0.0%

Situational

Season	Team	Tgts	Screen	Blitz	Pressure	Early TTT	Late TTT	Obv Pass	No-Huddle	Contested	Scramble	QB OOP
2018	TB	3	0.0%	1.1%	0.0%	2.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	—	—

Snap Share by Situation

GraphShow Sample SizeUse true game snaps (no inj adj)

Season	Team	Segment	Adj GP	Snaps %	Rush %	Pass %	High RZ %	GL %	Early Down %	Late Down %	Late Short %	Late Medium %	Late Long %	Blowout Down %	Blowout Up %	No-Huddle %	1–2 WR %	3+ WR %
2025	HOU	Early	2.00	50%	53%	49%	57%	20%	60%	15%	33%	0%	8%	—	—	100%	4%	67%
2025	HOU	End	0.75	23%	44%	4%	0%	100%	26%	10%	50%	0%	0%	—	—	0%	64%	8%
2025	HOU	All	2.75	41%	49%	35%	33%	33%	48%	13%	38%	0%	5%	—	—	80%	25%	47%

Injury History

Season	Weeks	Injury	Status
2025	Week 20	Concussion	Out
2025	Week 17	Calf	Questionable
2025	Week 16	Calf	Out

Current Contract

Year	Age	Base Salary	Cash	Cap Hit	Cap %	Team Pos %	Guaranteed $	Cap Savings
2026CY	30	$2.25M	$3.00M	$2.54M	0.8%²⁰	7.9%¹³	$1.00M	$1.54M

Weekly Game Logs

Week	Team	Opp	Score	v Pos Avg	v Pos Rk	QP	Snaps	% Snaps	% Rush	% Pass	% Rush Sh	% Tgt Sh	XFP	FP
16	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
18	HOU	—	—	—	—	3	12	19%	36.7%	3%	0%	0%	—	—