Coaching Timeline
Why does coaching matter?CFB
Virginia Tech
Graduate Assistant
1975-773 yrs
CFB
Mississippi State
RB
1978-803 yrs
CFB
Alabama
Running Backs
1981-822 yrs
CFB
Temple
Head Coach
1983-886 yrs
Kansas City Chiefs
Running Backs
1989-924 yrs
CFB
Mississippi State
Offensive Coordinator
1993-953 yrs
New Orleans Saints
Tight Ends
19961 yr
CFB
Alabama
Offensive Coordinator
19971 yr
Indianapolis Colts
Quarterbacks
19981 yr
Indianapolis Colts
Other Notable Asst.
1999-002 yrs
Cleveland Browns
Offensive Coordinator
2001-033 yrs
Pittsburgh Steelers
Other Notable Asst.
2004-063 yrs
Pittsburgh Steelers
Offensive Coordinator
2007-115 yrs
Indianapolis Colts
Offensive Coordinator
20121 yr
Arizona Cardinals
Head Coach
2013-175 yrs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Head Coach
2019-213 yrs
Team Info
| Season | Role | Team | Record | HC | OC | DC | QB1 | QB2 | RB1 | WR/TE 1 | WR/TE 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Head Coach | TB | 13-4 | Bruce Arians | Byron Leftwich | Todd Bowles | Tom Brady(17.00) | — | Leonard Fournette(13.25) | Mike Evans(15.50) | Chris Godwin(13.50) |
| 2020 | Head Coach | TB | 11-5 | Bruce Arians | Byron Leftwich | Todd Bowles | Tom Brady(15.50) | — | Ronald Jones(13.00) | Mike Evans(15.25) | Chris Godwin(11.75) |
| 2019 | Head Coach | TB | 7-9 | Bruce Arians | Byron Leftwich | Todd Bowles | Jameis Winston(16.00) | — | Ronald Jones(15.00) | Chris Godwin(13.75) | Mike Evans(12.25) |
| 2017 | Head Coach | ARI | 8-8 | Bruce Arians | Harold Goodwin | James Bettcher | Carson Palmer(6.50) | Blaine Gabbert(5.00) | Adrian Peterson(6.00) | Larry Fitzgerald(16.00) | Jaron Brown(16.00) |
| 2016 | Head Coach | ARI | 7-8-1 | Bruce Arians | Harold Goodwin | James Bettcher | Carson Palmer(15.00) | — | David Johnson(15.00) | Larry Fitzgerald(16.00) | J.J. Nelson(12.50) |
Coach Impact
Note: only calculated for first year upon arrival — take results with a grain of salt.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2019–2021)
Head Coach
Playbook Fingerprint
↓No-Huddle% -8.7%6↑Under Center% +16.2%90↑Screen% +3.4%89
| Before (2018) | First Year (2019) | Delta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OFFENSE | |||
| Scripted EPA | 0.04966 | -0.10218 | ▼ -0.15114 |
| RZ P/V | 4.940 | 5.371 | ▲ +0.474 |
| 3&Out% | 26.3%79 | 29.2%60 | ▲ +2.9%32 |
| Penalty EPA | 5.447 | -11.71 | ▼ -17.196 |
| Pass EPA | 0.15480 | 0.09265 | ▼ -0.06234 |
| Rush EPA | -0.1747 | -0.15811 | ▲ +0.01654 |
| xRY | 3.6724 | 3.8029 | ▲ +0.1364 |
| RYOE | -0.0324 | 0.0248 | ▲ +0.0553 |
| YAC OEX | 0.3037 | 0.7475 | ▲ +0.4476 |
| xYAC OEX | -0.2826 | -0.1836 | ▲ +0.1060 |
| DEFENSE | |||
| RZ P/V | 6.30 | 4.687 | ▼ -1.6100 |
| 3&Out% | 30.3%45 | 32.3%59 | ▲ +2.0%63 |
| TO Rate | 1.4%15 | 2.5%84 | ▲ +1.1%94 |
| Penalty EPA | -4.092 | -1.588 | ▲ +2.538 |
| Pass EPA | 0.1808 | -0.00672 | ▼ -0.18694 |
| Rush EPA | 0.00513 | -0.255100 | ▼ -0.260100 |
| xRY Allowed | 3.8563 | 3.6076 | ▼ -0.2580 |
| RYOE Allowed | 0.904 | -0.5498 | ▼ -1.4499 |
| YAC OEX Allowed | 0.5635 | 0.1091 | ▼ -0.4692 |
| xYAC OEX Allowed | -0.2491 | 0.0148 | ▲ +0.2611 |
Coaching Signature
Under Center LeaningLow Play ActionLow RPOPass-Heavy (vs Expected)Conservative on 4th DownStrong DefenseDisciplined DefenseHeavy 12 PersonnelLight 11 PersonnelRB-Heavy Targets
Player Impacts
Skill positions only (QB/RB/WR/TE), min 4 adj. games per qualifying season. Baselines use the 1–2 seasons immediately before the coach took over.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2019–2021)
Head Coach
Personal-best FP/G seasons set under this coach (must clear pre-coach peak).
| WR | Chris Godwin | 16.92019 FP/G · 13.8 gp | 9.7Prev Best | +74.2% |
| RB | Leonard Fournette | 16.72021 FP/G · 13.3 gp | 16.3Prev Best | +2.3% |
| WR | Mike Evans | 16.32019 FP/G · 12.3 gp | 16.0Prev Best | +1.6% |
| QB | Tom Brady | 22.12021 FP/G · 17.0 gp | 21.9Prev Best | +0.8% |
Core Efficiency
Pass/Rush Splits
| Year | Role | Team | % Pass | Pass EPA | Pass Succ% | Pass SOS | xYAC OEX | YAC OEX | % RB Rush | Rush EPA | Rush Succ% | Rush SOS | xRY | RYOE | % QB Rush | QB Rush EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | HC | TB | 67.5% | 0.185 | 50.9% | -0.015 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 30.9% | 0.021 | 45.4% | -0.018 | 4.04 | 0.22 | 1.6% | 0.483 |
| 2020 | HC | TB | 65.4% | 0.195 | 48.5% | 0.004 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 33.1% | -0.016 | 40.3% | 0.008 | 3.94 | 0.89 | 1.5% | -0.022 |
| 2019 | HC | TB | 64.3% | 0.092 | 48.1% | 0.035 | -0.18 | 0.74 | 31.4% | -0.158 | 32.9% | -0.008 | 3.80 | 0.02 | 4.3% | 0.335 |
| 2017 | HC | ARI | 62.8% | -0.115 | 40.0% | -0.005 | -0.21 | 0.06 | 34.3% | -0.208 | 31.6% | 0.001 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.9% | 0.139 |
| 2016 | HC | ARI | 63.8% | 0.021 | 46.0% | 0.013 | -0.22 | 0.44 | 35.2% | -0.048 | 41.9% | 0.002 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.9% | -0.620 |
Scheme
| Year | Role | Team | Shotgun% | Under Center % | RPO% | PA% | Motion% | 1R% | Horiz% | Screen% | WR Tgt% | RB Tgt% | TE Tgt% | 11 Pers | 12 Pers | 13 Pers | 21 Pers | XFP Conc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | HC | TB | 26.8% | 73.5% | 1.2% | 15.1% | — | — | 46.4% | 13.1% | 57.2% | 19.2% | 23.6% | 67.5% | 18.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 57.2% |
| 2020 | HC | TB | 25.0% | 75.4% | 2.2% | 17.3% | — | — | 49.2% | 10.9% | 57.7% | 19.6% | 22.7% | 57.7% | 20.9% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 51.8% |
| 2019 | HC | TB | 19.6% | 80.4% | 1.2% | 13.7% | — | — | 47.1% | 9.2% | 62.1% | 18.5% | 19.2% | 60.7% | 20.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 52.8% |
| 2017 | HC | ARI | 11.0% | 89.1% | — | — | — | — | 36.3% | 8.4% | 61.3% | 21.9% | 16.8% | 50.8% | 26.0% | 4.3% | 0.2% | 51.9% |
| 2016 | HC | ARI | 14.6% | 86.5% | — | — | — | — | 36.1% | 6.2% | 64.1% | 22.3% | 13.6% | 54.9% | 23.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 65.9% |
Tendencies
| Year | Role | Team | Plays/G | No-Huddle% | Plays/G OEX | Low PC% | Avg SFP | Called Pass% | Called Pass OEX | 4th Go% | 2pt% | Blowout CP% | Blownout CP% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | HC | TB | 65.8 | 12.9% | 0.1 | 29.4% | 30.0 | 68.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 52.2% | 90.9% |
| 2020 | HC | TB | 61.8 | 3.7% | -0.1 | 23.5% | 31.1 | 65.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 48.8% | 90.9% |
| 2019 | HC | TB | 66.6 | 3.3% | 0.5 | 24.8% | 27.3 | 66.3% | 2.5% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 48.2% | 94.0% |
| 2017 | HC | ARI | 65.3 | 4.2% | -0.4 | 28.7% | 29.8 | 63.8% | -1.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 34.5% | 92.6% |
| 2016 | HC | ARI | 67.3 | 4.7% | 0.1 | 28.1% | 30.1 | 64.1% | 0.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 39.5% | 96.1% |
XFP Summary
| Season | Role | Team | Type | GP | XFP | FP | XFP/G | FP/G | OEX% | % XFP | % FP | RZ XFP/G | RZ FP/G | RZ OEX% | % RZ XFP | % RZ FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Head Coach | TB | QB Pass | 17 | 337.1 | 359.3 | 19.8 | 21.1 | +6.6% | — | — | 7.9 | 8.8 | +11.4% | — | — |
| 2021 | Head Coach | TB | QB Rush | 12 | 17.0 | 19.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | +11.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7 | 1.1 | +51.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% |
| 2021 | Head Coach | TB | RB Rush | 17 | 213.5 | 231.6 | 12.6 | 13.6 | +8.5% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 4.9 | 4.9 | -0.9% | 22.5% | 21.6% |
| 2021 | Head Coach | TB | RB Rec | 17 | 172.3 | 160.8 | 10.1 | 9.5 | -6.7% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 3.2 | 3.2 | +0.4% | 14.8% | 14.3% |
| 2021 | Head Coach | TB | WR/TE Rec | 17 | 850.8 | 877.5 | 50.0 | 51.6 | +3.1% | 67.3% | 66.9% | 13.0 | 13.3 | +2.9% | 59.2% | 59.0% |
| 2021 | Head Coach | TB | WR/TE Rush | 9 | 10.9 | 22.2 | 1.2 | 2.5 | +103.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.5 | 0.7 | +46.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% |